North Korea Returns

WE have great news that light of our lives, Trump, will once again have a glad hand meeting with Lil Kim of the North Korea……

President Trump will meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un next month, Reuters reports. The White House tweeted news of the planned “second summit” Friday after Trump reportedly met with North Korean envoy Kim Yong Chol for an hour and a half and talked about denuclearization and another Trump-Kim meeting. The tweet said the location of the meet-up is TBD, but Vietnam and Thailand may be contenders, according to reports. The fact that the envoy ventured to Washington DC (North Korean officials typically have to stay near the UN in New York) and Trump’s willingness to meet with him are signs that the president is “eager to jump-start stalled nuclear negotiations with Pyongyang,” Politico says. Trump and Kim first met face-to-face last June in Singapore.

Like the report stated no location has come to the forefront…. but I think some place warm will be advised……

I realize that most Americans have a very short attention span…..so let me help you with a quick review of the last “summit” of the two goombas…..

https://lobotero.com/2018/05/22/north-korea-as-the-date-draws-near/

https://lobotero.com/2018/06/19/those-talks-with-north-korea/

https://lobotero.com/2018/07/03/north-korea-continues-to-unravel/

I have seen NO progress other than NK making nice with its Southern cousins……What would make this “summit” possible?

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said Tuesday he hopes to extend his high-stakes nuclear summitry with President Donald Trump into 2019, but also warns Washington not to test North Koreans’ patience with sanctions and pressure, the AP reports. During his televised New Year’s speech, Kim said he’s ready to meet with Trump at any time to produce an outcome “welcomed by the international community.” However, he said the North will be forced to take a different path if the United States “continues to break its promises and misjudges the patience of our people by unilaterally demanding certain things and pushes ahead with sanctions and pressure.” Kim also said the United States should continue to halt its joint military exercises with ally South Korea and not deploy strategic military assets to the South.

All this “diplomacy” (a laugh statement at best) has been about the nukes that NK has or is planning to develop right? and I think that other things might need to be included…that is if Trump can talk and chew gum at the same time…

What could be so important?

Ever heard of biological weapons?

…the vividness of the nuclear threat has overshadowed other weapons programs, limiting the attention and policy input that they deserve. This paper focuses on North Korea’s biological weapons (BW).

Accurately assessing the threat from North Korea’s biological weapons is challenging. Whereas North Korea has publicly declared its will to become a nuclear power many times, it has been less overt about its intention or capability for biological weapons. BW capabilities are inherently hard to detect and measure. While nuclear programs can be monitored by the number of nuclear tests and the success of missile tests, weaponizing and cultivating pathogens can stay invisible behind closed doors. Moreover, equipment used for BW production are often dual-use for agriculture, making external monitoring and verification virtually impossible. Limited information on North Korea’s BW program leads to a low threat perception that may undermine preparation and response efforts.

https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/north-koreas-biological-weapons-program-known-and-unknown

Please don’t get me wrong I am pleased that US and NK are talking…..and these talks should cover a wide array of WMDs….unfortunately the underlying feelings is that these meetings are nothing better than a coffee clutch….a photo op for PR purposes.

But I am with others that are saying “Don’t waste another “summit””…….

U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un have agreed to meet for a second summit at the end of next month. Agreeing to this was probably a mistake — but to have any hope of producing results, Trump will have to prepare much more carefully than he did last time.

There’s been virtually no progress in meeting even the vague goals set out in the communique from the first summit. The North has taken only cosmetic steps toward dismantling its nuclear and long-range missile programs, while continuing to produce missiles and fissile material. And it has so far refused to provide an inventory of its arsenals — a minimum starting point for more detailed negotiations.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-01-20/trump-shouldn-t-waste-second-north-korea-summit-with-kim-jong-un

But let’s say there is a “summit”…..will it be another top secret meeting of two overweight leaders exchanging burger?  Or will there be a road map to some sort of progress?

There is a possibility of complete denuclearization of North Korea in the years to come. But Washington needs to handle diplomacy in a manner similar to steps taken toward normalization of relations with Vietnam. Those steps involved a Road Map involving graduated unilateral confidence building measures on both sides. When Step 1 was completed, the two countries then went on to Step 2 and similarly to Step 3 and later achieved complete normalization of relations.

https://original.antiwar.com/Michael_Haas/2019/01/18/where-is-the-north-korean-road-map/

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4 thoughts on “North Korea Returns

  1. It’s better than not talking, but I cynically suggest it is little more than a diversion to take the focus away from the ‘shutdown’.
    Best wishes, Pete.

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