Is A Ukraine War Beginning?

While everyone is focused like a laser beam on IS….the Russians and Ukrainians held a possible chance for a peace talks……all reports are that it was contentious but semi-productive.  Only days after the talks there is a report coming out of Ukraine

(Newser) – Ukraine’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs tweeted a pair of hashtags last night—#UkraineUnderAttack and #RussiaInvadedUkraine—which appear to sum up the situation on the ground, the Washington Post reports. Pro-Russia separatists backed by Russian troops, artillery, and armored vehicles are now attacking on two fronts, authorities in Kiev say, with fierce fighting along a new southeastern front. The Russian tanks and armored personnel carriers seen in the area—which would give Russia a land bridge to Crimea—appear to have come straight over the border instead of from separatist-controlled areas in eastern Ukraine, the Los Angeles Times reports. President Petro Poroshenko canceled a trip to Turkey, citing sharp aggravation of the situation in Donetsk region, as Russian troops were actually brought into Ukraine,” according to a statement.

Russia has not acknowledged any troop movements. A rebel commander says there are around 4,000 Russians fighting with the separatists, but they are all volunteers. “Many former high-ranking military officers have volunteered to join us. They are fighting with us, considering that to be their duty,” he tells the BBC. “There are also many in the current Russian military that prefer to spend their leave among us.” The US has expressed its “deep concern” about Russian involvement in the rebel offensive. “Russia is clearly trying to put its finger on the scale to tip things back in favor of its proxies,” a senior American official tells the New York Times. “Artillery barrages and other Russian military actions have taken their toll on the Ukrainian military.” After days of fighting, the strategic southeastern town of Novoazovsk now appears to be under rebel control, the AP reports.

If true it sounds like a misdirection on the part of the Russians to have those “peace” talks.  Nothing is official but it would make perfect sense that this would be actually happening.

What Would Putin Do?

Opinion from the desk of the Editor

Today I will tackle the rest of the world and its obscene conflicts……

We have so much on our plate….there is Gaza, Ukraine, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and Russia…..which way to turn…..which crisis to deal with first……who do you call?

For now let’s talk about Putin…..6 months ago the American Right was having a bromance with him because of his forcefulness and his decisiveness….and now he is Satan incarnate to the Right….they really need to pick a stand and stick with it.

V. Putin grew up in the now defunct USSR, he worked as a KGB operative and now he is the Prime minister of Russia, after being the president and after being the prime minister…..anyway when he grew up he watched the USSR act as a power in world politics with influence throughout the world and now as the leader he wants to see his beloved Russia return to global prominence.

Should we condemn him for this desire?

To me it sounds like the babble coming from the mouths of Graham and McCain they keep rattling on and on about the US needing to return to its place as the power in the “civilized” world.

So what is he doing wrong?  Is it his tactics?  Is it his verbiage?  Just what is he doing that is not to their liking?

The problem is, as I see it, he is doing what he thinks is best for his country…..we may not agree….but then we are not Russian either.

So for as I see it the only difference between Putin and what the duo of McCain/Graham wants is……..Putin is acting……McCain and Graham are talking.

Looks like a strong sense of jealousy by the Babbling duo……..the only action we see out of McCain/Graham is when they dash to the closest microphone to rattle on and on…..

I am not by any means trying to justify Putin and his attempts to grab land and influence……all I am saying is that I can understand why he would be ass deep in the internal affairs of Ukraine…..it is his longing for the “good old days”.

MH17: How long?

How long is the media going to keep their news circus going?

MH17 is very similar as the other Malaysian flight……not the action that caused it but rather the media and its handling of the tragedy.  Both disasters had very little info to report but yet the MSM kept the missing plane and now the shot down plane in the news with so much filler that it is becoming nauseating.

Do not get me wrong……there is nothing routine about the deaths of so many people……what is disgusting is how long they, MSM, can keep the world focused on the fact that they have NO real facts to go on.

MH17….it has been a week of he said she said….accusations and limited amount of facts…….conspiracies should be flying……it was US fault…..then it was Russia’s fault…..then it was the separatists fault and then the Ukrainians were to blame…….and in all this time they facts they have are sparse…..people died, plane crashed and a rocket was fired……debris is scattered over 10 miles and it is not secure….there are the facts and we have heard the same ones over and over…the redundancy is getting sickening.

The US has issued report after report that it was a missile that brought the plane down….and the question is who fired it?

(Newser) – Senior US intelligence officials said today that Russia was responsible for “creating the conditions” that led to the shooting down of Malaysia Airlines Flight 17, but they offered no evidence of direct Russian government involvement. The intelligence officials were cautious in their assessment, noting that while the Russians have been arming separatists in eastern Ukraine, the US had no direct evidence that the missile used to shoot down the passenger jet came from Russia.

The officials briefed reporters today under ground rules that their names not be used in discussing intelligence related to last week’s air disaster, which killed 298 people. The plane was likely shot down by an SA-11 surface-to-air missile fired by Russian-backed separatists in eastern Ukraine, the intelligence officials said, citing intercepts, satellite photos, and social media postings by separatists, some of which have been authenticated by US experts. But the officials said they did not know who fired the missile or whether any Russian operatives were present at the missile launch. (See who Russia blames for the horrific crash.)

Okay, Russia did not fire the missile….then why the sanctions?

Is it because that Russia has sent military hardware to the separatists and it was possibly used to cause death?

Keeping with that moronic logic should not the US be sanctioned for the military hardware we send to Israel that is used to cause so many deaths?

Help me out here.

Beyond all that…the media needs to let the people mourn and only report when there is actual new information that needs to be put out there.

Here is another thought to contemplate……..we know how much McCain and his band of lunatics has railed about sending weapons to the Syrian rebels…..could MH17 be a warning?  MH17 is an example of what could go wrong while arming militants.

http://theweek.com/article/index/265098/a-lesson-for-america-from-mh17-dont-arm-the-syrian-rebels?utm_source=links&utm_medium=website&utm_campaign=twitter

Ukraine: “A Nasty Surprise”

Since my stay in the Army and having to participate in a war I have been fascinated with what causes war…..the conditions, the actions and the words…….so after Vietnam I returned to university and studied international relations…….now I read a lot and am always looking for a situation that could deteriorate into an armed conflict…..or a full scale war……..

Syria is smoldering…..Iraq is a flame and Gaza is waiting the next BIG attack……..and all the while the Ukraine/Russia confrontation is continuing….few are noticing because the media has them jerking off about some poor kids that need help……

The Ukraine thingy has been back and forth…in word and in actions….it seems that Ukraine has gotten the upper hand on the separatist….for now……and of course all the false bravado is just mind numbing but I read a piece that made me feel uncomfortable for the future of that conflict……

Having taken Slovyansk earlier this week, Ukrainian officials are increasingly bellicose about their ongoing civil war, demand unconditional, unilateral disarmament by the rebels before any future discussions.

“There will be no more unilateral ceasefires” by Ukrainian troops, announced Defense Minister Valeriy Heletey, while other officials promised a “nasty surprise” for any of the eastern rebels that continue to resist their takeover.

Since the takeover of Slovyansk, most of the rebels in Donetsk Oblast have moved into the city of Donetsk itself, and have been barricading themselves in pending a Ukrainian military invasion.

Defending the city is likely to be difficult, as the Ukrainian military is increasingly using not only airstrikes, but armored vehicles in its offensives. Donetsk and Luhansk remain the two major strongholds of the ethnic Russian rebels, who seek increased autonomy.

 

A nasty surprise?  That sounds like a threat to me…..but what type of threat and what would the “nasty surprise” consist of…..is it just chest thumping or could it be more to it than bravado?

Please tell what you think this could mean…….

A Geopolitical Chess Game

Inkwell Institute

Eastern European Desk

Since WW2 there has been a gigantic game of chess going on….East vs West…….First world vs second world……basically battle lines that are being formed…….a massive geopolitical game of chess.

First, the Soviet Union formed a buffer zone between them and the West….including E. Germany, Poland, Czechoslovakia, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and the Baltic states…..it was a logical necessity for every invasion has come through these areas…..they were forming a safety zone of early warning.

Then shortly after WW2 the West formed NATO as a safety zone of their own which included most of western Europe….this to feed the paranoia of the Iron Curtain.

Then in the late 80’s and early 90’s the Soviet Union began falling apart….there seemed to be a short period when the alliances of the past would not be needed……..but experts could not let the chess game go…….there had to be a way to keep it going.  there was….the answer….expand NATO to include as many post Soviet countries as possible…….

One would think that it would end there, right?  Wrong oh great one!

Russia tried to keep some of their past members with the CIS……..the Commonwealth of Independent States……..an institution t try and counter the expansion of NATO…….

A loose confederation of prior Soviet states that has been shrinking ever since it was established…..to try and slow the disintegration of the organization a new Eurasian Economic Union…….(see previous post)………..an attempt to head off the charge to join the EU.

Posturing has begun……spheres of competing influence are being formed……and in the end we will return to the days of yore and a new cold war…….hard to see how this bodes well for the nation of the world…….

What’ next?  Will corporations divide the earth up and start the Roller Ball concept?

I guess we could look on the bright side and say that this grab is better than a grab by warfare…..but any type of land grab will effect the people involved in one way or the other…..thoughts?

ANALYSIS. How Significant Is the Eurasian Economic Union? | World Affairs Journal

While the world was distracted with VA BS and the prisoner exchange and …..pause here for thought……there is so much lame BS that it is hard to stay focused on any or it.  But while the world snoozed Russia was attempting to form an economic union…….

 

ANALYSIS. How Significant Is the Eurasian Economic Union? | World Affairs Journal.

The Isolation Game

Inkwell Institute

Eurasian Desk

Today I would like to write about the popular technique used to handle our problem states in the world….sanctions.

In the beginning there was Russia and Ukraine……..after much provocation violence broke out…..a referendum was voted on…….and the world got its panties in a twist.  The US could not stand by and let Russia dictate the future of Ukraine.

We began with our typical response to a growing situation……..we threatened and then set about putting sanctions into place that would necessarily isolate Russia for not acting like a good guy on the world stage.  We then set about convincing Europe to join in our efforts…..did not work out the way we had planned……you see Europe gets about 80% of its natural gas from Russia…..so our European friends were not so quick to jump on the US sanctions bandwagon.

While our sanctions set about making Russia pay for their actions….they, Russia, signed a $400 billion agreement with China for natural gas….oops, that should make our sanctions a little less effective.

You see we employed a tactic from the 19th century to isolate Russia and force them to toe the line……a naive attempt at best.  Why?

Russia knew exactly what our response would be to their aggression…..tit is our go to tactic to any type of aggression, anywhere in the world…….our lame attempt at sanctions was just a worthless endeavor…..you see Russia had been trying to cut a deal with China for 10 years and it just made it necessary to ward off the sanctions that the US was trying to impose.

The isolation game we tried was destined to fail…..Russia had all its bases covered and a solution for each problem that US would throw at them.

The US needs to spend some time and find a new more up to date strategy for handling aggression in the 21st century………if not then our foreign policy will remain as impotent as it is today.