I know you had rather go on about some e-mail scandal……but while you were fretting over a non-existent scandal…..the world is still a pretty messed up place…..and we are not helping.
Many people and analysts are spending all their time on the ISIS problem in the Middle East. We are told that unless we stop them in Iraq and Syria then they will be on the Main Street of Hometown, USA ….and I will agree that ISIS could propose a major problem if they go unchecked……but could we be looking at the situation through rose colored glasses?
About here I usually drift into some historic perspective……but if my reader is unaware of the situation in Iraq and Syria by now then I prefer they move on to a gossip blog or some other topic….I have neither the time nor the inclination to rehash present day history…..with that said I shall get to the heart of the post……
After our victory against the war machine of Saddam in 2003….the US has been in the busy of suring up Kurds, for they were part of the reason for the invasion in the first place…….when the violence got intolerable to the prez and his gang of business men we began seeking help and arming some of the Sunni tribes in the dash to beat back all the extremists that were flooding into Iraq to fight the US and her allies.
After many long months and years of fighting the US pulls out of Iraq…..and then the sectarian fighting continues and intensifies to the point that the US had to back track and do something massive. You see ISIS went from Syria into Iraq and made great headway fighting the Iraqi army that the US had trained…..and of course our reputation is at stake.
We waited and watched……and the situation presented the US with the prefect incident to return in a grand way to Iraq……a story of some Iraqi tribes trapped on a mountain gave the US its pretense for action…..and as they say………. the rest is history.
The humanitarian problem was not as immediate as we had been lead to believe…..but we came any way…..now we are arming the Yazidis in their fight against ISIS.
Then ISIS attacked Christians and the Assyrians……we condemned and rushed to arm them and train them. The came the ancient Chaldeans…….they put together a force to fight the encroachment of ISIS into their region….we decide to arm them and train them……and recently the Iraqi Turkmens are coming under the awe of ISIS…..they are demanding arms and training………but what is going on?
Every region that ISIS enters…the locals try to ban together and fight them at every turn. On the surface this is just locals banning together for collective protection……but once the surfaced is breached there is a situation that could turn even uglier than the ISIS problem.
We have issued the edict that ISIS is an enemy of all Muslims and that we should do all we can to ensure the protection of Iraqi sovereignty…..the problem as I see it is that the minorities that are being backed by the US and its allies will present a bigger problem when the ISIS problem has been lessened or eliminated.
Each one of these minorities, like the Kurds, see an opportunity to secure a possibility of a “homeland”….or a nation of their own within Iraq……..
The violence after ISIS will be far from over…….clashes will be an ever-present situation….all the massive amounts of arms and training will make it inevitable. In a country awash with weapons violence will be an inevitable by-product.
In 2003 there was a proposal that Iraq become a Federation of 3 distinct states…Sunni, Shi’a and Kurd…..but now every minority is in it for a homeland…..each has a grievance against Baghdad and/or ISIS….there will be a push for multiple homelands or states if you will…….the amount of weapons will ensure a period of constant warfare in Iraq…..and only time will tell the outcome.
Surrounding countries will not be immune to this violence….there are “oppressed” minorities in Syria, Jordan, Lebanon…..just to mention those countries bordering on Iraq. And of course the safety of Israel will ALWAYS be a driving issue.
Keep in mind that the first Gulf War was entered into because we were told that Saudi oil fields were in danger…….the fields are still there and will once again be in danger. The US has made certain that we can NEVER leave the Middle East
The making of a new Hundred Years War.
I will be watching with the chance that I could utter the four most beautiful words in the English language……………”I TOLD YOU SO!”