Syria: A Balkanizing Future?

The Middle East these days is a region with more problems than successes…..take for instance Syria…..After all this confusing and war can it remain as a solid country to venture into the future?  Or will it breakdown into regions like Iraq has done (although no one wants to admit it)?

What are the chances of a balkanizing of Syria?

Balkanizing?  WTF?

Balkanization [(bawl-kuh-nuh- zay -shuhn)]
Division of a place or country into several small political units, often unfriendly to one another. The term balkanization comes from the name of the Balkan Peninsula, which was divided into several small nations in the early twentieth century.

1920, first used in reference to the Baltic states, on the model of what had happened in the Balkans; said to have been coined by English editor James Louis Garvin (1868-1947), but A.J. Toynbee (1922) credited it to “German Socialists” describing the results of the treaty of Brest-Litovsk. Either way, the reference is to the political situation in the Balkans c.1878-1913, when the European section of the Ottoman Empire split up into small, warring nations. Balkanized and Balkanization both also are from 1920.

The reason I ask the question or bring up the subject at all is something I read in a report from the region…..

In comments at the Aspen Security Forum, CIA Director John Brennan warned that after five years of bloody civil war, he is no longer confident that it’s even possible for Syria to remain as a whole country, saying it may not be possible to avoid a partition.

Indeed, US officials have long resisted the notion of even couching partition as a possibility, insisting they want Syria to remain united, and with a powerful central government, albeit a different, more pro-US ruling faction. US officials have repeatedly spurning proposals that would involve keeping Syria nominally united but in a more federalized system, with significant regional autonomy. Such proposals have been common among both the Kurdish YPG and the Russians as possible solutions to the war.

We have a pretty clear division in Iraq along sectarian lines…Sunni, Shia and Kurds……what what about in Syria how would this possibly divide up of the country?

This would be the Kurdish territory, mostly in the far northeast, ISIS territory across the east, and al-Qaeda’s territory around Idlib Province….and then there would be the central government around Damascus…..

Is this possible?  An accepted area for ISIS and AQ?

9 thoughts on “Syria: A Balkanizing Future?

  1. In my opinion, yes. Let us get real; l “An accepted area for ISIS and AQ” would make them easier to deal with; even easier to annihilate if that is the goal but give them reason to stop fighting “over there”. I’m not talking about terrorism here but civil war there. ~~dru~~

  2. Well frankly if you look at what Lorance of Arabian basically said, that is how those countries naturally are. Syria and Iraq as we know them are creations of the British

  3. I think all things are possible. However, I believe that the peoples of Syria should be asked their opinion on a go forward for their Country. Instead of always being told what is going to happen to them. Or even worse, just having war imposed upon them.

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