We are bombarded daily but this poll or that poll….the Prez popularity is falling or rising or ………More people are conserv…the country is going in the wrong direction….are a few of the polls that the media is SO addicted to these days…a minute by minute look at how Americans view Washington and its players……these figures are used to drive the political debate or drive the story of the day….but how accurate are these figures?
From the Newser website:
Yeah, it’s expensive, but pollsters need to start calling cellphones. According to the latest CDC data, 23% of US adults, or 25% of US households are cellphone-only, writes Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com. Add in “cellphone-mostly” households and that jumps to 40%—and it could be even higher by November, never mind 2012. These people are just being ignored, even though they are very different from their landline counterparts. Cellphone-only users are more likely to be young, urban, poor, and technologically savvy than their peers. “All of these characteristics are correlated with political viewpoints and voting behavior,” Silver argues. Pollsters try to compensate by “upweighting” the few young people they do reach, but that’s a lousy solution, and a recent Pew study proves it. Pew pitted a weighted landline-only poll against one that called cells and discovered that the latter swung six points in Democrats’ favor—a statistically significant result.
I have been preaching this all the way back to the 2008 election when daily polls were all the news…..during the election I asked why the people with cels were not part of the poll…..and that any poll that did not include these people was NOT accurate in any way and should be ignored completely….I said that then and it is MORE important now.
The most horrible word that can be politically uttered is……TAXATION! Nobody wants to pay more or higher taxes…no matter where we live, the taxation is too much….but the reality is that taxes must be paid if the services that the people demand are to be provided….sorry, it is just that simple.
If you want to get elected in the US, you run on a lower taxes platform and you will usually get elected….promise the voter lower taxes and taste victory……people have been running on that promise for decades and so far it has NOT worked the way it was promised….but yet the next election we get the same lame promises and those making them get elected….the people do NOT learn from their mistakes……it is called democracy….
This election cycle we have a bit of a different lean going on….whether you call it a Fair Tax or a Value Added Tax (VAT), regardless what they want to call it…there will be higher taxes or at least a more fair taxation than we have now….even some of America’s biggest capitalists see the need…like Warren Buffet, the Oracle of Omaha…..
“In the end we are not taxing enough, unfortunately, or we’re spending too much, probably some of each,” Buffett told FOX Business’ Liz Claman. “We’ve got a gap of 10 percentage points between what we’re raising in taxes and what we’re spending. One way or another we are going to have to close that gap in a major way, so if some of those taxes fall on me, or some fall on Berkshire, that’s probably the way it should be.”
Irregardless what you think…if we are to protect our children and grandchildren from the disaster waiting on the horizon, then we will be paying higher taxes….but it will be…WHO will be paying the higher taxes and will it be a joint venture of all Americans? The thing to remember is that all taxes are bad, but public services that are promised to the people must be paid for in some way….and that way is through taxation….
The US is giving away its tax base all in the name of things like the “free markets”………companies get a free pass on taxes if they locate in a certain area or make a certain product or….well you get the idea….that is revenue lost……then we have a volume of tax deductions that help wealthy people avoid the fair share of the taxes…..another lost revenue…then there is the social security tax and Medicare tax….if you make above a certain amount then you do NOT have to pay any more SS taxes….more revenue lost……and there is more that gives away the revenue that the government could use to either lower the deficit or eliminate it.
Americans will be paying higher taxes…but the question is… will it be all Americans are just those working and surviving by the seat of their pants? The real answer would be to eliminate tax avoidance. It will be telling to watch the debate….that will tell one where the taxes will come from….will it be just YOU or from everyone?